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Day: January 16, 2008

Marching Orders from “The Architect”

Karl Rove addressed a group of State Republican officials outlining the steps necessary to beat Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama, depending on who the Democrats choose as their presidential nominee for 2008. Most of his advise is pretty straight forward. Attack Hillary on her commitment to troop funding. Ask her to clarify her position on immigration (and specifically, driver’s licenses for illegals). Republicans can hit Obama on his lack of experience, his weak legislative resume, and above all, his liberalism. Again, pretty clear cut openings for the eventual GOP nominee.

Rove went on to give advice to whomever the Republicans advance as the nominee.

He said the candidates had to first “create a sustaining narrative about themselves.” Then he said the candidate should “immediately engage” on the “kitchen table issues,” like healthcare, education, jobs and the economy.

Third, Rove said the GOP nominee has to show that he is serious about campaigning “aggressively in places where Republicans don’t usually campaign.” Rove said that includes among black, Latino, Asian and union voters.

“We’re going for everybody,” Rove said.

OK, now for a moment, take the current field of GOP candidates and try to envision which can campaign aggressively in places Republicans don’t usually campaign. Go ahead. I’ll wait.

Hard to do isn’t it?

Which candidate in the current field can talk face to face with an ounce of credibility on issues of importance to Black’s, Latino’s, Asian’s and union voters? When an average African-American looks at Mitt Romney, what does he see? Rich, privileged white man? When a union voter looks at Fred Thompson, does he see a guy who will go to the mat on issues that are important to him? Maybe John McCain’s and Mike Huckabee’s liberal tendencies are strong enough to meet these constituents head-on, but even that’s a long shot.

And when it comes to aggressive campaigning, the winner will be the man with the money, and that pretty much leaves everyone out except Mitt Romney. So long as he doesn’t shoot his entire wad during the primaries.

I think the key to winning the White House in 2008 will be a massive GOTV program. If the GOP sticks with a conservative nominee, our candidate won’t get very far with the left leaning independent voter. We’ll need to go to our traditional base, grow it, and get ’em out to the polls. And at the same time, hit the Democratic nominee where it hurts. If we try to put on a face that means something to voters with a liberal slant, we’ll waste valuable resources and gain little for it.

Tags:
2008 Election, Campaign, Election, Fred Thompson, GOP, Huckabee, John McCain, Karl Rove, Mitt Romney, Politics, President, Republicans, Rudy Giuliani

Where’s Your Constituency, Billary?

An easily overlooked statistic from last night: 70% of Michigan’s African-American voters did not cast a vote for Hillary Clinton. Exit poll data suggests the so-called vote for “uncommitted” was really a vote for Barack Obama. This community has always put Bill and Hillary on a pedestal. Will they be knocked off in South Carolina? It’s shaping up that way.

Tags:
2008 Election, Bill Clinton, Campaign, CNN, Hillary Clinton, Michigan, Politics

And The Winner Is?

OK, now this is getting really complicated. Huckabee won Iowa. Romney won Wyoming. McCain won New Hampshire. Last night, Romney won Michigan. Oh, and don’t forget about Fred and Rudy. After all, Fred could win South Carolina and Rudy might win Florida. The pundits will give 10 reasons each for why any one of the above could be the nominee. And don’t look for February 5th to be the decider in chief. Anything is possible.

And it’s a mess.

Tags:
2008 Election, Campaign, Fred Thompson, GOP, Huckabee, John McCain, Michigan, Politics, President, Republicans, South Carolina, Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani