Condi Won't Be Veep

I hate to break it to Eugene Robinson, but Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice will not be picked by John McCain as his running mate. She doesn’t want to be Vice President. She never wanted to be Vice President.

I hypothesize that the Obama campaign pushed this story over the weekend, with the goal of damaging John McCain. Tying McCain to Bush and his administration is the only hope the Democrats have to cripple his candidacy. They can’t criticize him on his liberal viewpoints, for if they did, they would be criticizing their own beliefs. The only thing they can do is push the narrative that electing McCain will be like electing Bush for another 4 years. And how better to tie McCain to Bush than to suggest that a senior member of Bush’s administration wants an extended term of residency in the White House.

The Dems will have to come up with something better than this if they want to hurt McCain.

UPDATE: Condi says it again, even clearer.

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Barack Obama, John McCain, Condoleeza Rice, Vice President, Short List

Moving the Goal Post

Hillary Clinton is losing ground against Barack Obama in Pennsylvania according to a recent poll from Quinnipiac University.

Illinois Sen. Barack Obama is catching up with New York Sen. Hillary Clinton in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary and now trails 50 – 44 percent among likely primary voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 50 – 41 percent Sen. Clinton lead in an April 2 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University.

In this latest survey, one of the biggest shifts is among women who went from 54 – 37 percent for Clinton April 2 to 54 – 41 percent for her today. A look at other groups shows:

— White voters for Clinton 56 – 38 percent, down from 59 – 34 percent last week.

— Black voters back Obama 75 – 17 percent, compared to 73 – 11 percent.

— Men are for Obama 48 – 44 percent, compared to a 46 – 46 percent tie last week.

— Voters under 45 go with Obama 55 – 40, while older voters back Clinton 55 – 38 percent.

This trend will continue right up to the day of the primary. Remember where Hillary was a month or two ago? She held a strong double-digit lead against Obama in Pennsylvania. Problem is, the last few weeks have been tremendously hard on the candidate and it’s showing. As a result, the campaign narrative has changed. Hillary is no longer expected to win by double-digits. Her surrogates are saying that she’ll win by between 5% and 9% in PA, but that will be a BIG BIG BIG win for Hillary. A win in PA was suppose to signal Hillary’s comeback. It was suppose to show her legitimacy as THE real candidate who can win in November. Her overwhelming win there was suppose to provide her with much needed delegates while depriving Obama of the same. Her big double-digit win in PA was suppose to bring her within striking distance of Obama’s popular vote lead.

A 5% to 9% win will accomplish none of these things.

The only thing that will happen is Hillary will use her thin win is yet another reason to stay in the race. The media has made sure everyone pays attention to Pennsylvania as THE crucial point of the Democratic primary. Pennsylvania is suppose to be a game changer. It won’t change a thing.

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2008 Election, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Pennsylvania

A General Lack of Truthiness

Hillary will stop telling a story about the death of an uninsured pregnant woman. Apparently, it lacks a certain necessary element of effectiveness. The truth.

A hospital has raised questions over the accuracy of the story, and Clinton’s campaign has said although they had no reason to doubt the story, they were unable to confirm the details.

Hmmm…the sniper fire that wasn’t, and now a dead pregnant woman, who might not be dead. Do I detect a pattern here?

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2008 Election, Hillary Clinton, Truth

Penn Steps Down

Clinton chief strategist Mark Penn is quitting the campaign. His departure is controversial to say the least.

After it was discovered that Penn had been hired by the Colombian government to help secure a trade deal, one that Sen. Clinton has said she opposes, he realized he needed to step down, sources told ABC News.

Penn’s resignation came under pressure from an angry Sen. Clinton, who believed that Penn had recused himself from any clients who might pose a conflict for her campaign.

This is key. Hillary Clinton isn’t in control of her campaign, or the people who run it.

Clinton spoke about her opposition to the Colombia trade deal last week in her speech to the AFL-CIO in Philadelphia, and on Saturday seven labor unions that are part of the “Change to Win” coalition called for Clinton to fire Penn.

“The Penn situation — and the lack of action by you — raises serious questions about the veracity of your claims of what you would do should you become President,” the unions said in a statement released Saturday.

Again, that’s key. Did Hillary know about Penn’s conflict of interest and if so, how long has she known? If he wasn’t ‘found out’, would Penn still be in charge?

Hillary already has a credibility problem, and this mess only adds fuel to the fire. She can’t be trusted. Watch for this to be THE major issue for the Obama campaign this week.

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Hillary Clinton, Mark Penn, Controversy

Even Steven

Obama pulled even with Clinton in endorsements from top elected officials.

Obama yesterday won the backing of Wyoming Governor Dave Freudenthal, who became the sixth head of a Republican-leaning state to come out for him in his bid for the Democratic presidential nomination. In the past week, Obama picked up support from first-term Senators Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota and Bob Casey of Pennsylvania. Clinton, backed by two governors from Republican states, gained no superdelegates in that time.

Obama, 46, is endorsed by 16 U.S. House freshmen to Clinton’s 6, and 40 percent of his congressional allies are from “red states,” or those that voted for President George W. Bush in 2004, compared with one-quarter for Clinton. That bolsters the Obama campaign’s argument that he would have broader backing in the general election.

At the end of the day, do endorsements really matter anymore? Sure it signals party solidarity, but in the voters mind, is one endorsement more significant than another? The media goes crazy when a party stalwart like Ted Kennedy decides to align with Obama, but we now know it really didn’t matter that much to the voter. The same might be said about Bill Richardson’s endorsement. Will Hispanics suddenly love Barack just because Bill does? I don’t think it works that way anymore. Mostly, I think the public’s disconnectedness is to blame. Not enough people follow the primary race, or current events in general. They have name recognition with the candidates, but they aren’t necessarily familiar with the daily jousting. I just can’t believe the media pomp and circumstance around this endorsement or that one really amounts to much, today.

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2008 Election, Barack Obama, Bill Richardson, Hillary Clinton, Ted Kennedy, Hispanics, Voters, Electorate, Endorsements

Obama Puckers Up

Barack feels the need to give Algore a big ‘ol sloppy wet one. You can guess where.

Democrat Barack Obama said Wednesday he talks regularly with former vice president Al Gore and would consider putting him in a Cabinet-level position or higher. A woman at a town hall asked the Illinois senator if elected president would he consider tapping the former vice president for his Cabinet, or an even higher level office, to address global warming. “I would,” Obama said. “Not only will I, but I will make a commitment that Al Gore will be at the table and play a central part in us figuring out how we solve this problem.

Obama knows about the animosity that remains firmly entrenched between the Clinton’s and the Gore’s, so he’s trying to do everything possible to sweeten (and stir) the pot here. Watch Hillary on this one. If a member of her campaign provides an in-kind offer to this blatant pandering by Obama, it’ll be an indicative measure of her desperation.

Technorati Tags:
2008 Election, Al Gore, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton

Howard Dean Feeling the Heat

The DNC chairman is out this morning with words of comfort for the Clinton campaign.

Democratic National Committee chairman Howard Dean said Wednesday the party was committed to seating Florida’s delegates at this summer’s convention as long as any agreement is supported by the party’s two presidential contenders.

“We are committed to making sure that we do everything in our power to seat a delegation from Florida,” Dean said. “We believe we will seat a delegation from Florida.”

But the party chairman said it was critical that Obama and Clinton were “comfortable with the compromises that have to be worked out.” The two campaigns did not have representatives at the hourlong meeting.

And therein lies the problem. Up til now, Hillary has be the only one banging the ‘voter disenfranchisement’ drum, for obvious reasons. Obama has been comparatively silent. Why? The conventional wisdom is his campaign will not benefit from the seating of Florida or Michigan. Yet, current polling in Pennsylvania shows Obama might have a better chance this time around than in early February.

But, remember this. Obama doesn’t have to do agree to anything right now. His delegate and popular vote lead effectively protects him. Depending on how things go in Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Indiana, Obama might not have to say a word about Florida or Michigan. Hillary, on the other hand, absolutely needs Florida and Michigan. Her 5% percent chance of capturing the nomination goes to zero rather quickly without these two states.

It’s clear that Howard Dean is caught in the middle of these two, and their huge constituencies. Pressure demands that he does something. Problem is, he’s damned if he does, and damned if he doesn’t.

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2008 Election, Barack Obama, DNC, Hillary Clinton, Howard Dean, Florida, Michigan

YO ADRIAN!!!

Hillary Clinton thinks she’s Rocky.

Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton says she has something in common with legendary film boxer Rocky Balboa — she’s not a quitter. Recalling a famous scene on the steps of the Philadelphia Museum of Art from the 1976 Oscar-winning film “Rocky,” Clinton said that ending her presidential campaign now would be as if “Rocky Balboa had gotten halfway up those art museum steps and said, ‘Well, I guess that’s about far enough.'”

“Let me tell you something, when it comes to finishing a fight, Rocky and I have a lot in common. I never quit. I never give up. And neither do the American people,” Clinton said in excerpts of prepared remarks to be given Tuesday to a meeting of the Pennsylvania AFL-CIO.

Yeah, she never quits, and she’ll make sure no one is left alive either. At least in the movie, you got a sense that Rocky was fighting for Philly, and the guys in his neighborhood, and for Mickey, and (in later movies) the memory of Apollo Creed, etc. Hillary is fighting for no one but herself.

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2008 Election, Hillary Clinton, Rocky Balboa

The Grudge Continues

John McCain is distancing himself from President George W. Bush, and that’s hardly surprising. McCain has to run on his own record, and not that of a previous president. Still, one has to believe that the animosity between these two still exists in a real way. I don’t expect many joint appearances this fall.

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George W. Bush, GOP, John McCain

It's An Ugly Thing

Hillary’s sniper fire just won’t die down.

NYP: The Bosnian girl who famously read a poem to Hillary Rodham Clinton during her 1996 visit to the war-torn country is shocked – and her countrymen infuriated – that the former first lady claimed to have dodged sniper fire that day.

Emina Bicakcic, now 20 and studying to become a doctor, told The Post she stood on the tarmac at the air base in Tuzla, greeted Clinton and even had time to share the lines of verse she’d written – all without fear of attack from an unseen enemy.

“I was surprised when I heard this,” Bicakcic said, referring to Clinton’s assertion that she braved snipers upon landing, ducking and sprinting to military vehicles.

Sema Markovic, 22, a student, said she has long respected Hillary as a strong leader but was angered by her remarks.

“It is an ugly thing for a politician to tell lies,’ she said. “We had problems for years, and I don’t like when someone lies about them. It makes us look bad.”

It makes us look bad.

Hillary, are you listening?

Technorati Tags:
Bosnia, Hillary Clinton, Lies